Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 83.801848 93.011929 102.492750 112.959251 124.167437 135.787956 148.724461
2025-02-02 70.087208 83.718293 98.459484 115.490066 134.526380 155.055663 178.773189
2025-02-09 61.546725 77.404452 95.146552 116.275844 140.559372 167.406330 199.139027
2025-02-16 56.780702 74.593206 95.095905 120.124831 149.535834 182.690872 222.575175
2025-02-23 51.834654 70.928204 93.488801 121.653918 155.409807 194.116807 241.392422
2025-03-02 46.063231 65.693399 89.505740 119.896315 157.021796 200.290315 253.898847
2025-03-09 41.550950 61.619083 86.567224 119.057238 159.437188 207.184548 267.091808
2025-03-16 37.960996 58.419725 84.445277 118.975687 162.568816 214.789660 281.047085
2025-03-23 36.277979 57.585829 85.212676 122.428821 170.008966 227.599364 301.318957
2025-03-30 33.773644 55.433656 84.095017 123.328560 174.152162 236.330338 316.647886
2025-04-06 31.485095 53.404595 82.990320 124.117201 178.062932 244.728433 331.574636
2025-04-13 28.152789 49.641604 79.325683 121.326392 177.206124 247.048888 338.899114
2025-04-20 27.264945 49.440760 80.584949 125.204864 185.159821 260.685506 360.656459
2025-04-27 25.983454 48.565373 80.847757 127.714113 191.345691 272.160393 379.854942
2025-05-04 24.322436 46.980161 79.995248 128.603555 195.326143 280.792619 395.485000
2025-05-11 23.741390 47.035728 81.477719 132.728570 203.657771 295.091612 418.428782
2025-05-18 22.506572 45.955575 81.228989 134.372414 208.622895 305.040726 435.874534
2025-05-25 20.428417 43.346397 78.578168 132.484791 208.688433 308.531661 444.994158
2025-06-01 18.772499 41.315137 76.685143 131.583746 210.027971 313.647489 456.198820
2025-06-08 17.441374 39.739341 75.402799 131.496137 212.441738 320.161999 469.234030
2025-06-15 17.069600 39.824471 76.694586 135.203918 220.191656 333.847818 491.748491
2025-06-22 16.115861 38.793747 76.169607 136.169659 224.062228 342.344918 507.492334
2025-06-29 15.201261 37.765993 75.593654 137.016037 227.741551 350.588775 522.940103